It seems that a lot has gone backwards in Los Angeles County this past week. Beaches and bike paths that had been opened, are now closed for the July 4th weekends. Bars are now shut back…
Today I am presenting three separate graphs which will show COVID-19 case, mortality and testing rates in Los Angeles County. Hopefully these three taken together will provide perspective about the epidemic in our county. Case rates…
This week I have received a number of questions about daycare and school reopening strategies. It will come as no surprise that there is essentially no guidance about such from the CDC. In fact, the CDC…
Risk estimators are sometimes used in clinical medicine as we try to quantify a patient's likelihood of having an event (heart attack, stroke for example) or dying of a particular disease. We also use these formulas…
After a brief hiatus, I have returned to watching news coverage of coronavirus. It seems that the current debate appears to be hung up on the idea of what COVID-19 metric matters. In other words, which…
Don't believe everything you read from the LA Times or from the County Health Department regarding when it comes to rising case numbers in Los Angeles County. When asked to comment on Saturday's report of 1,568…
Cases of COVID-19 decreased last week in Los Angeles County for the first time in five weeks (Figure 1). Before you get too excited, it decreased from 11.61 daily deaths per 100,000 population to 11.52. Testing…
For those of you who have followed our posts regularly, you will remember that I have been tracking COVID-19 case rates in Riverside County. I began following rates after a May 8th Board of Supervisors decision…
One (semi) reasonable critique of using case rates to assess suitability for reopening is that with increased testing capacity, we are now identifying mild cases that are less likely to impact our medical system. "The easiest…
It is, admittedly, difficult to keep up with all of the #COVID-19 news but the lunacy occurring in Orange County has the makings of a public health nightmare of their own creating. On June 8th, Orange…